Nifty Trades for 25/01/2013

180 Comments
25/01/2013 09:00  Trend: Negative, SL: 6041
25/01/2013 12:25  SL Triggered, Trend: Positive, SL: 6015
25/01/2013 12:45  Buy Level: 6029-32, Target: 6068-71, SL: 6015 (Trade in low qty.)
25/01/2013 13:20  SL Trailed: 6025
25/01/2013 13:45  SL Trailed: 6037
25/01/2013 14:20  SL Trailed: 6047
25/01/2013 14:45  Buy Level: 6060-63, Target: 6099-6102, SL: 6047 (Trade in low qty.)
25/01/2013 15:25  SL Trailed: 6051


  1. HI SUNIL, CAN WE BUY TATAMOTORS PE AT CURRENT MARKET PRC FOR INTRADAY GAINS?

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    Replies
    1. Hi Pradip, Likely to see a reactive upmove today. Avoid shorting it.

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  2. Hi SR, Good morning
    How is the Nifty movement today?

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    1. Hi Krishna, Till now holding support of 6010 well. But VIX and option premiums rising. Lets wait to see which side Nifty takes a move.

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  3. Hai Sunil Ji... Good Morning...

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  4. hi sunil,
    any script for intraday trading?

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  5. hi sunil, looking at the advance & decline ratio , it seems if we short nifty we can gain somethg?ur views please

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    Replies
    1. Hi pradip, Wait for now, Enter shorts if we break below 6008, longs if we break above 6041.

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  6. Good morning sir,
    Shorted nifty @ 6030, shall I maintain the SL of 6041 on spot?

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  7. good morning SR..ur view on LT.holding 1600 ce.premium not moving much.exit now?

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    1. Good Morning subin, Had replied earlier in yesterday's page. Hold with a SL of 1570. If it manages to sustain above 1585, can head ahead to 1640.

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  8. GM SR. Last 3 days Nifty(F) OI reduced 17% and premium is almost 0.What does it suggest?
    Thanks.

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    1. GM Arunashis, OI reduction indicates closure of long positions in Nifty. As Nifty is close to major support levels, we see the battle between bulls and bears. Loss in premium or futures at discount indicates bears have an upper hand in the battle. But until the support is breached, bulls always have a good chance to fight back.

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  9. GM SR

    Levels of Jindal steel , please

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  10. hi sunil, markets trading in a very narrow zone ?wat to do? today seems to be a no trading zone/day?

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    Replies
    1. Hi pradip, yes, Let it break out of the range. Heavy options have been bought in both directions. The break of range would drop premiums of one considerably. That's why the option writing pair strategy.

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  11. Option Writing Pair Strategy: Short Feb 6200CE and short Feb 5900PE at combined price of 88 (cmp). Keep SL of 64.5 for either and exit both if SL triggered.
    Note: This trade is only for traders who can follow the SL strictly. Do not break the pair at any times.

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    Replies
    1. Sir,
      If I am not wrong, SL shall be more than 88 (CMP) as we are shorting.

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    2. Currently each is trading around 44. If either of them hits 64.5, we book profits in the other as well.

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    3. I've entered it@88
      Thanks for the Call Sunil.

      Good find Anu.

      What are the profits levels that we are expecting, If nifty hold between 5900 and 6200. (Complete Premium), Probability Please.

      Thanks
      Mahy

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    4. Combined of entry is @88 and SL Exit@129.
      Thanks for clarification Sunil.

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    5. Most Welcome anu.

      Hi Mahy, Gave this call as option premiums have risen higher than previous day. The break of range will almost instantly bring down premiums to a good extent. But one may keep holding it keeping SL at 75% of previous day's net premium for each of them.

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    6. Oops I miss interpreted it :)
      Either of the one reaches 64.5, we exit both.
      I think I'm understood it right. hehe

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  12. hi sunil, autosector positive today, considering that and also since tatamotors trading high with good volume can i buy CE today for intraday , if yes LEVELS plz?

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  13. Sir I am holding Bank Nifty JAN 12800 CALL short (sold @ 67) and Bank Nifty JAN 12400 PUT short (sold @ 59) . Is it safe to hold both shorts till JAN Expiry .

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  14. Hi Sunil, Good morning!

    Your short term view on Cipla pls. It's below 21 & 50 DMA.

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    Replies
    1. Hi DAlerts, Has hit strong support levels of 388 today, if it holds on to it for 1-2, can see a good bounce from here.

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  15. Hello sir,
    What is ur view on Maruti

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  16. Sir I am holding Nifty JAN 6000 PUT , SBI JAN 2600 call and Nifty Feb 6300 call . Shall I exit from JAN 6000 PUT and JAN SBI 2600 call now .

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    Replies
    1. Hold shorts with sl above 6041 and long with a sl below 6008. Its a tight range as of now.

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  17. Hello sir, entered short strangle, the SL may come if Nifty likely to test either 6100 or 5950?

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    1. Hi Krishna, The SL is meant to book loss in one profits in the other. We should overall be gainers :)

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    2. Option premiums rising even higher... India VIX near 15.

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    3. Sir, i understand you. But 'SL of 64.50 for either' will test at which state of Nifty(approx) yet time factor is there.

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    4. Ideally, we would not want the SL to be triggered, and we remain in the trade till next expiry. :) We may book profits after a break of range is sustained for about half an hour. But if the breaks are violent, we need to keep a SL to exit the loss making trade instantly.

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  18. The break of range in Nifty may be expected within next 60-90 mins. Nifty is forming a converging traingle and may breakout soon. Keep watch!

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    1. Breakout in upside or downside?

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    2. Let the elephant decide its path, we follow :)

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    3. ok.. If nifty break 6041 levels then what will be the target of nifty? and if nifty breaks 6008, then target?

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    4. Targets are calculated by Autochannels on the basis of the momentum of channel breaks. So we need to wait for now. Next Supports: 5991, 5976. Next Resistances: 6055, 6078

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    5. ok Sir... Your view on TATA STEEL?

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    6. Looks weak below 402. If breaks 398, can see 389.

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  19. Excellent setup for a major swing in Nifty. Our short strangle at 88 now at 90. Let's wait for this bubble to burst.

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  20. Sir, as I am short in nifty, in case if it crosses SL of 6041, whether I need to wait for few minutes or sell off immediately?

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    Replies
    1. Would be better to exit as the breakout momentum may be strong after such a build up.

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  21. Hi Sunil ji,

    Can I enter Cairn @ cmp (321) ?

    Please give support resistance levels for it.

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  22. Hi SR, india vix is now up by 2.21%. It was 3.31% before 15 minutes...

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  23. Sir
    The SL 6041 is broken,
    What next?

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    Replies
    1. Not Yet. The 5-min bar should at least close above it.

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  24. Nifty fails first breakout attempt. Not a good signal for those hold longs. :(

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  25. Hi Sunilji,

    For entering option pairs,is it better to place a basket market order ?

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  26. sunilji,

    Will the market move beyond 6055 today and range bound in that area?

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  27. hi sunil, european market seems to open lower will it act as a turning point?

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    Replies
    1. European Markets openings most likely are already factored in. If Nifty holds the breakout another few mins, we may go long on any dips.

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    2. kindly confirm as an when u think by checking the charts plz

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  28. good morning sr ji. having nifty shorts.what is stoploss?hold or exit?can i enter in calls?

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    Replies
    1. Good Afternoon. Exit shorts for now. Can enter long in small qty as per call.

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  29. Hi SR, Can I go short in tata steel?

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  30. we are all waiting for the confirmation?

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  31. 25/01/2013 12:45 Buy Level: 6029-32, Target: 6068-71, SL: 6015 (Trade in low qty.)

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  32. is it a confirmation that nifty shall go up?

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    Replies
    1. Should likely go up as its sustaining the breakout. However, we place a SL in case market change their mood.

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  33. can i enter in calls now at 6050?thanks

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  34. 6000PE regains max OI in Nifty once again. 6010 held good. If these stats are held on closing basis, BEARS may have to wait some more time for another swing high of Nifty.

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  35. SIR i miss this rally since didnt get any dip

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  36. Bad luck,I also didn't catch it as it was not a real time call.

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    1. We will catch the next one. :)

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    2. No issue,today most(100% in CNBC Awz)of the analysts have given sell at 12 noon, but you are the odd one. Thanks

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    3. Most Welcome. Just believed on the new version of AutoChannels.

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    4. Excellent, as we are always participated with your calls, we are feeling the market very closely which is very very important for gaining the confidence.

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  37. Sunil,

    Do we need to be ready to exit our NIFTY short call and put? or we can hold them for expiry or few weeks ...?

    Please share your thoughts.

    Thanks
    Mahy

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    Replies
    1. Hi Mahy, Puts have not lost premium as expected. Today's closing would be important. We will hold it with our SL for some more time.

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    2. If the SL is not triggered, the more the delay the more we are gainer

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  38. same here,missed it.please suggest entry levels for next ride.

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    Replies
    1. Will have to wait for the next one now. Not today, I guess.

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    2. ok sr ji. Thanks. Suggest one good share which is best for hold till expiry.

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  39. Sunil, When to exit intraday longs? Shall wait for 6068???

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    1. Yes, book near 6068, futures which were at par at breakout have already crossed 6071.

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  40. Replies
    1. Okay, Most likely your remaining 25% is for free of cost now. Hold it for positional target of 75 keeping SL at 6010.

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    2. I mean i exit 100% of holdings making a 75% profit...

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    3. Oh, no issues. That's nice :)

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    4. Sir,
      Can we buy 6100 CE now?

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    5. Too late now. Wait for a dip now.

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  41. Target Hit, Book Profits. Positional traders may hold part positions for positional target of 6164.

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  42. Sir SBI 2600 call now @ 14 , (my buying is @ 18) . Shall I exit with min. loss now .

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    Replies
    1. If its Jan exit on rise, may buy a feb call on some dips on Monday for same target of 2590-2600

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  43. Max OI in 6200CE & 6000PE are 95 lacs each

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    Replies
    1. Yes. 6010 support held. Likely to head ahead on Monday.

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  44. hi sunil ,
    your analysis is superb!!!

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  45. hi sunil, do u suggest any BTST?

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    Replies
    1. Hi pradip, was just thinking about that. Wait a minute.

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  46. 25/01/2013 14:45 Buy Level: 6060-63, Target: 6099-6102, SL: 6047 (Trade in low qty.,) May treat it as BTST

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    1. Sir,
      Do u think it will come down to these level?

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    2. Yes, It already dipped once to 6061. Likely to test it again before close today.

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    3. 6060-63 in spot right sir?

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  47. nifty wat levels it will close today?

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    1. Likely to be near 6068-71. Will call it a great closing, if goes beyond it.

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  48. hi sunil, on monday do u think the rally will continue?

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    1. US futures are trading positive. Most likely a gap-up on Monday. Rally may head upto 6102, 6133, 6164 this expiry.

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  49. Congratulations Sunil for
    trading ideas which are hitting targets.

    Great going...
    Keep up the good work.

    Thanks again for your efforts in developing such system.

    Mahy

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    Replies
    1. Most Welcome and Thanks for your kind comments Mahy. :)

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  50. Sir I am still holding SBI Jan 2600 call . How do you find it's closing around 2513 . Also holding bank nifty short 12800 call (jan) and bank nifty short 12400 put (jan) . Do I need to cover PUT on monday .

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    1. SBI closing is good. Can add some more gains on Monday, But advise you to exit 2600CE Jan on any rise (even if its value is lower than today), may add a feb call on dips. If Banknifty sustain above 12715 by 10am on Moday, strictly exit 12800ce short without a second thought. Hold 12400pe short.

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  51. can i enter in 6100 feb call on monday,if opens flat? bhel not moving much.can i hold to expiry

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    1. Hi sbrj, Can buy Nifty call on any dip. Hold Bhel till monday, still looks good.

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  52. Sir I am holding jan 6000 put and feb 6300 call .please advice .

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    1. Hi sonu, Exit put on any dips on Monday. Book Call near 6099-6102.

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  53. one last question is i have sbin 2700 feb calls 500,may i hold it till feb expiry for 2700,2800 target.is it possible?many thanks.
    happy republic day.

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    1. it is 500 quantity,5 lots of feb 2700 sbi

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    2. Hi sbrj,

      For SBI, 500 quantity is 4 lots.
      Lot size is 125.

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    3. Hi sbrj, Not sure about levels above 2590-2600 for SBI as yet. Lets see how things shape up. Outcome of RBI meet may likely have a major impact on banking stocks.
      Thanks and Happy Republic Day to you too.

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  54. Goodmorning ,thanks aton guruji.
    i have sbi in my account and planning to buy icici on monday before rbi meet.how do you see icici for 1 month?
    i have strong feeling that these bank stocks will rally even if rbi does not cut rates due to short covering. your opinion please.
    many thanks.
    with regards.

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    1. Good Afternoon sbrj, Not sure how markets will react after outcome of RBI meet. Would be better to decide about entering ICICI after the market reaction on the outcome of rbi meet.

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  55. thanks guruji.vl do as you suggest.guess 171 comments is new record of autochannels.in? congrats.

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  56. Sir can I buy 10 lots of 6400 feb call wirh sl of 6050 .

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    1. Hi Sonu, Markets are going through a phase of low volatility. As such, we are not seeing major movements in Nifty. Don't buy OTM options as of now. Keep small targets and qty low. Enter and exit at earliest. Adhere SLs strictly. Do not hold onto options too long.

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  57. Hi Sunil Rao ,Happy Republic day ![Wishing you now , though late in the day]
    Like they say ,better late than never ! ]
    Best of luck ,in all that you do .
    Gitanjali

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    1. Hi Gitanjali, Happy Republic Day to you and your family too. Thanks. Take Care.

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  58. Hi SR
    Good Morning
    From daily chart it seems Coal India has bottomed out at 340 levels.
    Can I enter 340CE of JAN series on Monday for quick returns?
    Please share your view on Coal India considering EOD chart along with following OI data of JAN series on Friday closing.
    320 PE 1000 shares
    340 PE 141000 shares
    360 PE 119000 shares
    380 PE 20000 shares
    400 PE 2000 shares
    (Max OI at 340 PE with 141000 shares)

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    Replies
    1. Good Morning sdkbest, Avoid entering its CE. Overall looks weak below 350

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    2. Sir
      Can we judge the short term(approx. one month) support/resistance levels of a stock from OI data of PE/CE respectively? please focus some light on these aspect. Thanks

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    3. Hi sdkbest, Most Welcome. OI data may be used as a confirmation tool in conjunction with other indicators for confirmation of major support/resistance levels for current series.

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    4. Thanks Sir for your explanation

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  59. Sir !!! "HAPPY REPUBLIC DAY" !!!

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  60. Hi guruji.
    missed your calls on friday,can i enter in feb 6100 call tomorrow and hold it for 10 days?
    target for nifty in feb month please.breaking previous highs 6330 is possible?market looks very strong.
    many thanks.

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    Replies
    1. Hi sbrj, No issues. We will enter the next calls. Not sure of Feb series as yet.

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