06/12/2013 09:15 Trend: Negative, SL: 6269.32
06/12/2013 09:35 Caution: Exit Shorts near 6251.00-6247.33, SL: 6269.32
06/12/2013 03:30 SL Triggered, Trend: Positive, SL: 6246.43

06/12/2013 09:35 Caution: Exit Shorts near 6251.00-6247.33, SL: 6269.32
06/12/2013 03:30 SL Triggered, Trend: Positive, SL: 6246.43
Intraday Pivots for Nifty: 6187.33, 6237.77, 6288.22
ReplyDeleteHello SR,
ReplyDeleteGood morning..
Do we have any plans for Monday.. due to election results fro 5 states on Sunday ..
Kindly share your views...
Thanks in advance..
@rvk Good Morning. We may enter a call based on today's closing. If close is above 6212, we may enter a long.
ReplyDeleteHi SR, Good morning,
ReplyDeleteVIX is increasing as well as the premiums of both CEs & PEs
OI of 6500 CEs and 6000PE are maxm, Significant OI of 6200PE is also seen which implies a strong Bullish undertone towards 6500?
@Kris hna Good Morning. Overall undertone would be bullish above 6212.
ReplyDeleteThanks.
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteCan i enter 6500 CE @ 50 for target 60 ?
Sunilji Good Morning :)
ReplyDeleteNot advisable. IVs of CEs are high. Wait for a dip.
ReplyDelete@sai Good Morning. :)
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteGM. Your view in Relinfra.
GM, If long on it, exit position as it has broken support of 435.7 and can head down to 429-427.7. Res: 441.
ReplyDeleteGA Sirji !
ReplyDeleteHuge shorts r being created in nifty....do u expect 6200 today?
GA, I see that too, If 6237 is broken, Nifty may slide down to 6210, 6180
ReplyDeleteGood afternoon SR and AC readers :)
ReplyDeleteNifty created one more gap yesterday in between 6188-6234, it will get filled sooner. Next week we may see 200-250 points swing move in either direction!!
ReplyDeleteBank Nifty too created huge gap yesterday along with nifty i.e., from 11469-11165, these two gaps shall get filled before moving to higher levels...
BN has one more gap in between 9260-8840, sooner or later this gap also shall get filled, it's the matter of time which is beyond our predictions.
For the records, all these signs are the hints that this market don't go continuously topping up but has to come down some day in order to fill the above mentioned gaps but only below 6000/5970...
SR, plz have a look at Vix index 2-yr weekly chart, it formed cup and handle pattern clearly and its about to finish the handle but little confused whether handle ends near 26.5/29 area, any idea? If so my strangles/straddles will gain more premium in coming days.
ReplyDeleteGA :)
ReplyDeleteGood afternoon Sai :)
ReplyDelete@Guest Good Afternoon. :)
ReplyDeleteNot monitor VIX charts. But, the cup should have ended at the 2-year high and handle has to break out of the 2-year high. But I think 2-yr high is near 35-37
ReplyDeleteOk, thank you for the reply, now got clear idea...
ReplyDeleteWHAT IS THAT SIRJI??
ReplyDeleteActually on weekly charts, Vix is bullish and sometimes I track index based on it and I always keep SL for my strangles/straddles on Vix index, currently my SL is 20/19.4. Holding heavy positions of straddles.. Above 25, its 30/32.. SR also conformed about the pattern. Lets see :)
ReplyDeleteHi HAM, GA
ReplyDeleteFor my strangle 6000/6500, Where should i book my profit at Vix _?
OK THANKS. AS A LEARNER YOUR VIEW HELPS ME.
ReplyDeleteOptions have not yet broken the first hours high/low.
ReplyDeleteGood afternoon Krish
ReplyDeleteTry booking profits near 22.50/23 for intra-day and 25 for positional strangles..
You are always welcome Sai :)
ReplyDeleteThanks, as long as I'm in profit, want to go for VIX 25.
ReplyDeleteThat's fine but try to avoid these far OTM options as option players had shorted 6000 pe and 6400 ce, so you better prefer 6300 ce and 6100 pe in order to save from time decay prob.. If profits, better to book today as no one is sure how market reacts to elections outcome and vix too reacts quite sharply to the news in either direction....
ReplyDeleteThanks, just before close lets see what happens......
ReplyDeleteThose holding strangles / straddles, try to book profits today by day end and VIX to likely to peak before election results. We may have a major gap-up/down on Monday. But VIX may likely crash immediately after opening. All OTM options are very highly priced and may not gain much as the loss in the other counterpart. It would be wise to book strangles before day-end today.
ReplyDeleteThose holding 6300CE/6500CE spread near 75-76 levels, continue to hold them.
ReplyDeleteHas same feeling, best to book profits for today and ride fresh ones after results. Good advice though..
ReplyDeleteSir planning to take short strangle 6000pe n 6600ce, any advise?
ReplyDeleteNifty likely to hold this upmove as PEs finally broke day's low.
ReplyDelete6500CE can be bought on dips near 49.65, SL: 46.9, Target: 55.2
Better go with Short butterfly: Short 6100PE+ 6400CE and buy 6000PE + 6500CE
ReplyDeleteOr else Short 6000PE + 6500CE and buy 5900PE + 6600CE
Short butterfly will remove the loss which may be caused in a short strangle due to an extreme move.
ReplyDelete:-)..really bit confusing sir
ReplyDeleteIf entered, exit at cost
ReplyDeleteIts creating a short strangle and creating a farther long strangle to avoid major losses due to an extreme move
ReplyDeleteShort butterfly of 6000PE + 6500CE short and 5900PE + 6600CE long. will generate full profits, if nifty expires in the range of 6000-6500. Profits will go down if Nifty expires below 6000 or above 6500. However if there is any major move which lead Nifty to expire above 6600 or below 5900 will reduce your loss to a max of about 50 pts.
ReplyDeleteCE did not hit SL. But spot hit SL and then bounces back. That's the reason I exit at cost. Better safe than sorry.
ReplyDeleteIn fact CE hardly moved below the entry price.
ReplyDeleteIf still holding, can revise SL to 49.65
May trail SL to 51
ReplyDeleteTarget achieved. :)
ReplyDeleteExit strangle now !!
ReplyDeleteOnly holding Jan 6200 straddle with 25% margin and will average it for every 5% drop in premium. Lets see how it goes on Monday!!
ReplyDeleteHave a great weekend SR and AC readers :)
U havn't booked your profits?
ReplyDeleteI booked and entered fresh straddles just 2 minutes before close.
Thanks and wish you the same.
ReplyDeleteHi Sunil,
ReplyDeleteI am new to this group and nice to see your ideas which are being posted on a timely manner.From now I am planning to follow the ideas which are posted here..