Nifty Trades for 06/02/2013

134 Comments
06/02/2013 09:00  Trend: Negative, SL: 5974
06/02/2013 09:40  SL Triggered, Trend: Positve, SL: 5950
06/02/2013 09:50  SL Trailed: 5952
06/02/2013 10:25  SL Trailed: 5953
06/02/2013 11:10  SL Trailed: 5957
06/02/2013 15:15  SL Triggered, Trend: Negative, SL: 5981


  1. hi sunilji GM..
    can we go short on Nifty if it opens higher? If so, kindly let me know the level to enter pls..

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  2. trend + & stop around 5957 ?? hmm ? is that rite?

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    Replies
    1. hmm.. again turns back.. oops. lets wait

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    2. Good Morning Doc! Positive trend only after break above 5974.

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    3. hmm .. it just gave a flick.. lets watch out .. nice trend following set up .. bye sunil ji.. will mail u at eod

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  3. Good Morning sunil ji.. forgot to say that.. closely watching ur indicator from past few days :)

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    Replies
    1. Thanks Doc! Shortly coming up with its ultimate successor, AutoChannels (Code Name: Reverse Engineered). The new version not only identifies trend, but also retracements and consolidation within a trend.

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    2. That's cool Sunil.
      Great going.
      Keep up the good work.

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    3. Welcome you for your new venture

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  4. Sir,
    Can you please share your views on Tata steel for the day.
    Holding 400 CE of the same @ 13.

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    Replies
    1. Hi Shashi, Strong Res near 401-403, Above which can see 407.

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    2. Booked the profit at 14.60
      Thanks for the kind support sir..

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    3. Most Welcome. Nice to know. :)

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  5. Hi SR, Good morning
    On the verge of breaking 5974, can we expect +trend?

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    Replies
    1. Good Morning Krishna, 5974 has been broken but the very next bar takes out the low of the breakout bar. Lacks positive strength. Not a good sign. Avoid taking long positions as yet.

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    2. Thanks, already entered 6100CE small qty for intraday, lets c

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  6. Good morning Sunil.

    I'm Late today, Had an extra nap. :)
    Levels for NIFTY and SBI please.

    Thanks
    Mahy

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    Replies
    1. Good Morning Mahy, hmmm nice. Nifty Major res: 6017, Major support: 5048. SBI in short covering mode above 2375, Res: 2419, Supp: 2325

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    2. I think u mean 5948.

      Thanks for the update Sunil.

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    3. Don't be sorry Sunil, such typos will keep ppl like me on track and focus.
      I look at it as a test for us. :)
      Be cool.


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  7. Sir can I buy Maruti 1650 call @ around 30 .

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    Replies
    1. Hi Sonu, Enter if it breaks above 1634, for target of 1659 with sl below 1620

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  8. Major Resistance for Nifty at 5977. Refer to tech. view. Nifty will be weak below it as long as Nifty fails to close above 5977 on daily basis.

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    Replies
    1. okay, Can we enter NIFY PE for Intraday basis?
      Is it advisable

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    2. For intraday: Not yet. For Positional, Every rise till 6085 is a sell.

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  9. Hey Guys check this out : http://mysticfunds.blogspot.in/2012/10/money-management.html

    hope this helps improve your trading and money management skills.

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  10. So far a sluggish movement of Nifty & continues till 1:30 p.m?

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    Replies
    1. Yes, movement is sluggish. Positive momentum above 5992.

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  11. Hi guruji
    can bhel be shorted at cmp?
    please advice good stock to short and hold for a week

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    Replies
    1. Hi sbrj, Bhel is a good short below 220 with SL above 222. Can be shorted on any rise for target of 206-7

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  12. hi SR,
    GM
    11 am closing may tell something about the direction ??

    also, SR, i have Zerodha, i want to see the chart of nifty (currently seeing nifty fut chart), how may i see that ?
    thanks

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    Replies
    1. Hi tarun, GM, I think, you are using ZT. I'm not sure of that as I'm still using NOW. And using my own software for charts. Pls confirm with zerodha team.

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    2. Hi Tarun, for same issue I asked Zerodha TM, but they don't have spot index chart for nifty, banknifty etc. You have ref. some other websites for index charts.

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  13. Trade for Option Writers: Short 6000CE and 5900PE at cmp about 103. On the upside keep sl for break above 5992.

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  14. many thanks sirji
    please advice one more very weak stock in f&o which is ready for big fall

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    Replies
    1. Most Welcome. Not sure as yet. Will check out and let you know.

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  15. Sir I am holding 5900 PUT (bought @ 34) , shall I exit @ CMP now .

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    Replies
    1. Hi sonu, Should have booked it yesterday at opening as advised earlier. No issues. Hold with a TSL of 5992 on Nifty

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  16. Sunil,

    What happended to SBI, sudden drop in it.

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    Replies
    1. Hmmm... Not much. Its within average volatility of SBI

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    2. Okay, Such dips can be entry for Intraday on long side?

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    3. Yes. If trend is strong, such dips tend to test the support levels. Ideal for entry.

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  17. Hi guruji,
    how is l&t looking to short. target?
    best wishes for your new AutoChannels tool Reverse Engineer.
    keep helping us all with your brand new techniques.
    thank you so much sirji

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    Replies
    1. Thanks for your kind comments.
      LT has very strong supports near 1521 and 1503 levels. Will be a good sell if it breaks below 1503 for target of 1441

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  18. Hai Sunil Ji...
    ICICI breaked strong support of 1158... may i know the downside target please...

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    Replies
    1. Hi Mahesh, Immediate targets: 1147, 1136. Res: 1166

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  19. GOOD MORNING SIR,
    can Dr reddy be added in Call for a week? cmp 1900

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    Replies
    1. Good Afternoon Ramesh, No. looks weak below 1907.

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  20. GA Sunil, I don't have enough capital to make the short strangle call. Can you suggest any other position for medium/short term?

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    Replies
    1. Good Afternoon Paritosh, Overall looks weak. Can go short on Nifty once it breaks below 5957.

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  21. Hi Sunil,

    HDFC giving a decent up move today. What is the short term target before feb expiry?

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    Replies
    1. Its a pull back. Has broken above 802, Can test 822, 833. Go long only after it breaks above 833.

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  22. Booked Profits on JubiFood on short side (Intraday) (entry@1127 and closed@1109)

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  23. Sir short strangle is @ 110 , still can we short 5900 Put & 6000 call .

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    Replies
    1. Hi Sonu, don't enter this short strangle now. We will enter shorts after we sustain a break below 5957.

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  24. Sunil,
    Can we expect bounce in the market once europe open in green and stays in green?

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    Replies
    1. Hi Mahy, Nifty has good supports near 5957 and 5948. If sustained, may see a bounce.

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  25. sunilji.

    Holding nifty put...shall i hold or exit?

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    Replies
    1. Hi neelima, If in profits book for now, or else may keep a SL above 5978 and hold.

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    2. i am not in profit...purchased @11.9(5700 PE).....8 lots

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    3. In that case, we need to hold with a SL above 5977 on closing basis. Can give good returns once 5948 is broken.

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  26. Sir can we buy 6200 calls with SL of 5957 .

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    Replies
    1. Hi Sonu, For intraday, Avoid buying options when momentum is low.

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  27. Sir I am planning for 1-2 weeks , as we are near trend line support .

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    Replies
    1. Hi Sonu, Technically upside is limited to max 6085-6100 as of now. OI also suggests the same. 6200CE would decay to less than current value in 1-2 weeks even if Nifty gives a bounce. Not advisable.

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  28. Sir, for long on Nifty,the immd. SL 5957 would suffice?

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  29. Sirji, bought bhel 200 pe. may i hold it till friday for 200 target.
    there is rumor of 195 in 1 week, any chance?
    many thanks

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    Replies
    1. Hi sbrj, Technically 195-96 levels are quite possible as it has broken a major support at 220.5. Supports near: 207, 202, 196.

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  30. Ok Sir , can we buy 6100 calls at around 20 .

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    Replies
    1. Hi Sonu, Entering calls now would have higher risk, but can definitely give good rewards, if things turn favourable. However, you may still buy the same on intraday dips after Nifty gives a close above 5977 on daily closing.

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  31. Sir, I think SBI is weak.. It can break its support.. because it is not giving the bounce from its lower level...

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    Replies
    1. Overall it is weak, but will gain momentum below 2354 and as such sl could be smaller at 2375. If you wish to short now, you will need to keep a SL above 2419.

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    2. ok SR.. I think 2354 is a support of 38.2% retracement..

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  32. Hi SR, If nifty close below 5977, then what will be the next target for nifty?

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    Replies
    1. Hi Vibhor, Downside below 5948 can head to 5914.

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  33. many many thanks sirji
    then will hold for 10 days.
    bhel near day low, your prediction rocks as always

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  34. Replies
    1. yes. But our markets still have a bearish undertone. That was the reason not to go long in the morning.

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    2. In the morning entered 6100CE (bought) & after 1:30 entered Nifty Fut( bought)and exited both at cost, confusing market.

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    3. Hi Krishna, Remember the saying "The Morning shows the day"

      The first 5/15/60 minute bar generally indicates the market move for the day. It is easier to understand when markets open with a gap.

      If on a gap-up, opening bar is positive, markets likely to go up, but confirmation only after market sustains above the high of the opening bar.

      If on a gap-up, opening bar is negative, markets likely to go down, but confirmation only after market sustains below the low of the opening bar

      Vice versa for gap-downs.

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    4. Always Welcome Mahy. Was planning to write an article on it with the title "The Morning shows the day" :)

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    5. Thanks for your analysis and discussing the possibilities of gap up/down openings --- the opening bar is of 5-mint duration?

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    6. Hi Krishna, Most Welcome. Ideally Opening bar of 60 mins should be considered. But even 5 or 15 mins bar may be used if it is a long bar with long body and can be confirmed later with 60 mins bar.

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  35. GA SR.. itc 320ce worth to hold?

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    Replies
    1. GA subin, Hold it with SL of 300. Can do well if it breaks above 308

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  36. sirji, see bhel what a fall.
    free fall in bhel,l&t,icici,sbi
    this indicates our market weakness,right?

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  37. Hi SR, SBI breaked its support...

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    Replies
    1. Hi Vibhor, yes, can go short on it near 2354 which it should likely retest with sl at 2375.

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  38. hi SR,

    nifty neither rising nor breaking the support,
    what looks more probable ??

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    Replies
    1. Hi tarun, Nifty has broken support of 5957. Technically Nifty today just filled the gap created yesterday and likely to continue further down towards 5948, 5914.

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  39. Sorry guys, power failure since morning and UPS gave up about 20 mins before close. Just came back online.

    Nifty short strangle in decent profits right now at about 107. Those holding the Nifty short strangle may continue to hold for more time with SL above 5981.

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  40. vix index is 14.26 down -2.40% what it indicates? please tell downside target for positional nifty short

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    Replies
    1. Hi sbrj, Movement of 2-3% in Vix is normal. Vix generally goes down during a flattish session, Below 5948, Nifty can see 5914. You may read my Technical View on Nifty.

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  41. many thanks for clarifying
    good night sir

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  42. Sirji,one last doubt is should i book profits in bhel 200 put immed by opening?sorry for bothering you with many questions

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    Replies
    1. Hi sbrj, No issues. Bhel may likely open lower with the markets. Book part profits at opening and hold the rest with trailing SL at 210. If only 1 lot, book at opening. Profits better in pocket than on table.

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